Brief biography of the future

Reviewer: Valery Fedorov weekend data: M. An influential French economist, banker and writer, first president of the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, and the “godfather” of the current president of France Macron, Jacques Attie is known for his interest in the topic of future humanity. His last work on this topic, published in the year, unfolds a whole set of mutually contradictory paintings of the future.

To link them into a single canvas, Attly is trying to find the points of contact in them and build in a coherent sequence. Consider these scenarios as they unfold in the forecast of the French futurologist. Life expectancy in developed countries will come close to years, humanity will continue to age. Two -thirds of it will live in cities, the volume of energy consumed will double.

More than two -thirds of children will be born in the 20 poorest countries in the world. However, water and energy will become a deficit, the climate will deteriorate, social inequality will worsen, conflicts will become faster, migration is intensified. This is the first wave of the future - "Sunset of the American Empire." Then the number will go into quality, and the following scenario will come into force.

His name is "market hyperimperia." Starting from about the year, "money will end with everything that can interfere with their triumph, including the states themselves." The American hegemony will come to naught, there will be no replacement, there will be polycentrism of about 11 dominant powers of a regional scale. Nature will be mercilessly operated. Everything will become private, including the army, police and judicial power.

A person will turn into an artifact for production and sale, and then become useless and will disappear. ” A person will finally fall under the power of the market element. Such an empire, without clear boundaries and a certain center, will be controlled by “hypercochets”-the heirs of the current cosmopolitan class of top managers and billionaires. It is logical that in hyperimpery “everyone will be rivals.

People will fight for oil and water, for the right to occupy or leave the territory, impose their faith or subjugate others. ” It will be a "market without democracy." It is easy to see that in this script, Attali extrapolates into the future the main trends of globalization of the 10ths - neoliberal privatization of the economy, the marketing of the public sector, the expansion of transnational corporations, the weakening of state power, the revival of the power of large non -decay countries.

The resulting image of the future is terrible, and it is logical to assume that "humanity, recoil from such a future, will interrupt globalization by force." The era of "hyperconflikt" will come, the war with everyone. In general, a cure for market hyperimpery may turn out to be worse than the disease itself, and the new barbarians will plunge the earth into the new stone age - if they do not explode it at all.

This is the payment for the injustice and inhumanity of market expansion, whose beneficiaries could not or did not want to stop their crazy enrichment. The events of the beginning of the year show that the breakdown of the “Hyperimpery” script, even before they reach the full implementation in “hyperoconflik”, may already happen. You won’t want to live at such a time to the enemy, so there are chances to complete it and the transition to a new, more peaceful and fair order.

Perhaps, over time, “new altruistic and universalist forces will take power over the world in the environmental, ethical, economic, cultural and political crisis. These forces will rise against surveillance, existing rules and selfishness. ” This is the kingdom of moderation: suspended, but not destroyed globalization, universal and effective democracy, broad local self -government, and among the dominant values ​​- "loyalty, responsibility and mutual respect." The world will be managed by the "Unified Democratic Government and several regional centers of power.

With the help of the latest technologies, each person will be able to use all wealth for free, live in abundance, fairly dispose of market benefits, preserve food surplus, protect the world around him and leave him suitable for the life of the following generations. ” Altruism and mutual responsibility will reign in society. Even “it will become possible to give birth to a universal mind”, a new type of economy will develop - “relative”, in which goods and services will be produced without calculation for benefits.

At first, this economy will compete with the market, and then destroy it.

” Attali admits that such a system today seems impossible, but the other two hyperimperia and hyperconflikt are destructive by definition, and hypersocracy may be the only salvation from their horrors. Thematic catalog.