BURNINGENEN Alexander Alekseevich Biography

Try the literature selection service. You can always turn off the advertisement. It is Taken Into Account That The Adopted Concept of Hardware and Software Complex Doles Not Provide the Possibility of Forming the Target Indicators. When Analyzing the Number of Technical Specifications for the Development of Regional Hardware and Software Complexes, The Lack of Implementation of the Concept Provisions in Terms of Target Criteria and Indicators Section VIII is shown.

There was no Accounting for Events Related to the Processes of Emergency Prevention. Bracarin, A. Schukov Annotation analyzed conceptual approaches to the creation of the hardware and software complex of the agro-industrial complex “Safe City” from the standpoint of reasonable goal-setting in the framework of the model of situational management systems.

It was taken into account that in the adopted concept of building and developing the “safe city” hardware and software complex, the possibility of forming a system of target indicators is not fully ensured. The lack of accounting of events related to the processes of preventing emergencies has been revealed. An attempt has been made to formulate recommendations to eliminate the shortcomings admitted in the concept.

Keywords: APC "Safe City"; situational management; goal -setting; Damage assessment. Zatsarinny, A. Suchkov Abstract The Analysis of Conceptual Approaches to the Creation of Hardware and Software Complex "Safe City" from the Position of Reasonable Goal-Setting Within the Framework of the Situational Management Systems Model is Carried Out. An Attempt is Made to Formulate Recomminess to Address The Shortcomings of the Concept.

Key Words: Hardware and Software Complex "Safe City"; Sitation Management; Goal Setting; Damage Assessment. Thus, these documents emphasize the relevance of the development of the concept and program of the “safe city” work that determine the totality: functional and technical requirements for hardware and software; regulatory legal acts and regulations of interagency interaction aimed at counteracting threats of public safety, law and order and safety of the environment, forming, together with the current federal security systems, the intellectual multi -level security management system of the subject of the Russian Federation as a whole and the municipality in particular due to forecasting, reaction, monitoring and preventing possible threats, as well as monitoring the elimination The consequences of emergency situations of emergencies [Order of the Government of the Russian Federation from the concept of constructing and developing the Safe City hardware and software complex further-the concept involves “creating systems of situational analysis of the reasons for destabilizing the situation and forecasting of existing and potential threats to ensure the safety of the population of the municipality”.

This setting of the problem requires the application of the methods of situational management and situational analysis using the means of digital platform that ensure the processes of supporting decision -making in real time and based on key concepts such as: event, situation, threat, management [1]. The event is a change in the state of objects of the controlled space. The situation is determined by the state of interconnected elements of the situation in the controlled space; Changes in the situation are determined by the events that form some of the time unfolding in time, observed and recorded flows.

At the same time, “management” is understood as a purposeful effect of the governing body on the resources subordinate to it or interacting elements of the situation. The “threat” in management processes refers to the situation or set of situations, the development of which contradicts management goals and moves the current state from the target. The process of establishing and formalizing goals is called goal -setting.

According to the general principles of goal -setting in management systems, the formulated goals should be specific, measurable, achieved, wealthy and tied to time [1]. This involves the formation of a multi -level system of target indicators of the CPU CPO and determining the criteria for evaluating CPU at all levels threshold values ​​and temporary binding, planning and accounting of dynamic goals.

The concept of situational analysis is used in management processes, when there is a need to develop managerial decisions in real time in a difficult environment that develops in relation to controlled objects. Situational analysis provides on the basis of event monitoring of the situation: identification of threat situations; tracking the state of situations; The prognosis of scenarios of their development, as well as support for the process of developing control influences to achieve the target situation, normalization of the situation.This approach for a number of years developed and reinforced in the FIC "Informatics and Management" of the Russian Academy of Sciences during fundamental and applied research, as well as in the development of large territorially distributed information and analytical situational systems [2, 3].

In [4], a cyclic functional model of situational control systems, including five stages: goal -setting, monitoring, analysis, solution, action, is substantiated. The model allows: to form complete functional requirements for situational management systems; To examine the technical specifications of the TK and design solutions for their implementation. In [1], a scheme for constructing a system of situational management is determined, which is a sequence of the following actions: 1.

Based on the analysis of the threats taken into account, the formation of a system of measurable target indicators of the CPU. Creation of the means of assigning the target values ​​of the CP and the time of their achievement of the planning system. Determination of sets of observed or evaluated parameters of the controlled space, on the basis of which the values ​​of the CPU are calculated.

Determination of data sources and monitoring technologies of these parameters. Analysis of existing control influences in the system of management of forces, means, resources, etc. Determining methods for supporting decision support processes based on the analysis of the Dependencies of the CPU on the used control influences, the development of response scenarios for standard situations.

Determination of means and technologies for the implementation and control of the execution of decisions. Conceptual approaches to the creation of the Safe City agricultural sector from the standpoint of reasonable goal -setting are analyzed as part of a model of situational management systems, as well as taking into account the fact that the adopted concept does not fully ensure the possibility of forming a system of target indicators of the Safe City agro -industrial complex.

The analysis of a number of TK for the development of regional agro -industrial complex showed an almost complete absence of the implementation of the provisions of the concept in terms of target criteria and indicators section VIII, as well as the lack of accounting of events related to the processes of preventing emergencies. An attempt was made to formulate a number of recommendations to eliminate the above concepts of the concept.

These groups are further specified in the form of more than 70 threats, which are also comprehensive and requiring decomposition. The state of each threat should reflect a certain CPU; For example, such a technogenic threat as “aging of a housing stock” Section II of the concept can be characterized by the percentage of old housing in the total housing stock. This CPU is calculated on the basis of two parameters: the number of houses of the city’s housing stock and the number of houses recognized by old housing.

This CPU can be subject to planning, monitoring, analysis of the dynamics of change, forecasting and ultimately - management. After the decomposition of all the threats mentioned in the concept, their number will probably achieve, and the procedure for the formation of all CPU within the framework of this article seems impossible. Such a procedure is fundamentally necessary in the formation of requirements in relation to the specific agricultural sector “Safe City”, especially for the proper formation of a system of goals, taking into account the specific features of each agricultural sector.

It is logical to create a number of integrated CPUs that make up the hierarchical system of indicators. The concept contains integrated criteria and indicators of assessing the effectiveness of using the Safe City complex. However, some of them are non -set and declarative section VIII A and B, are not amenable to formalization and digitization, for example, “increasing the efficiency of emergency response services” or “improving the quality of the decision -making system” and are little suitable for use in the system of situational management.

Other indicators can be expressed in a measurable form, for example, “reducing the time of mobilization of human resources and technology” or “reducing the number of victims and the amount of damage in emergency situations” and, undoubtedly, should be taken into account when forming a goal -setting system “Safe City”. The main integral indicator is the damage from emergencies in its value terms.

However, it is obvious that in the concept and in implemented projects a skew is visible towards emergency response to the detriment of the prevention and prevention of emergencies. This indicates the need to adjust the goal -setting system of the entire project “Safe City”, which is quite possible if there are threats in the system of threats of the concept of indirect threats that are not directly related to emergencies.These include, for example, threats associated with: aging of a housing stock, engineering infrastructure; a decrease in the reliability and stability of energy supply; overload of the main engineering networks of sewage and filtration fields; deficiency of heat supply sources; untimely and poor -quality cleaning of the streets; violation of the procedure for the disposal of production and household waste; exposure to external factors on the quality of drinking water; non -compliance of the road surface with the safety requirements of road transport, etc.

The hierarchy of targeted indicators of the Safe City agro-industrial complex for the implementation of a full-fledged goal-setting system, it is necessary to introduce a block of CPU, reflecting measures for the prevention and prevention of emergencies. Firstly, this is not only a real, but also prevented damage from emergencies. Secondly, this is a record of the influence of measures not only on the response and elimination of the consequences of emergencies, but also the most important processes of preventing and prevention of emergencies.

Thus, the calculation unit of the main CPs decomposes into three components: indicators and criteria for the prevention of emergencies, for response to emergencies and eliminating the consequences of emergencies. In the designations in the figure, the CPU calculation formulas look like this:! The target set is determined either in the form of a specific number or an interval of numbers.

So, for OI. For YAI. For example, the percentage of old housing will decrease when it is replaced with new housing. The appropriate management of the agro -industrial complex is carried out using the resources of the system of financial, technical, labor, etc. Managers. Managers, purposefully allocated resources of R. To predict damage, risk indicators can be used, due to the possibility of causing damage as a result of the implementation of the threat of emergencies of a technogenic, natural or terrorist nature.

However, the requirements for the collection of relevant statistical data for regional agro -industrial complex are not presented. Therefore, the average damage from emergencies can be established according to existing frequency data as a mathematical expectation of potential damage from the threat. I, p - the probability of an emergency, the frequency of accidents, disasters per year; I am potential damage from an emergency.

True, it is not entirely clear why only two frequency gradations are found: one by ten thousand acceptable risk and one by a thousand increased risk. Although a rough assessment of potential risk is sufficient to calculate the prevented risk and control of target indicators Planning, dynamics analysis, management. Monitoring and analysis of the data subsystem of monitoring ensures the collection and processing of data coming from monitoring systems in order to ensure forecasting, monitoring threats of natural, technogenic, biological, social, environmental nature in the territory of the municipality.

The subsystem collects, processing and consolidation of data on the current situation in the territories of municipalities obtained from various sources of information of the municipal and regional levels of monitoring and control systems, terminal devices, duty services, voice and text messages from the population and organizations. The monitoring subsystem of a typical agro -industrial complex includes the following functional components: receiving and processing calls about a possible emergency; monitoring of environmental parameters; video monitoring and video analysis; monitoring of housing and communal services; fire alarm control; Monitoring of vehicles.

However, it should be noted that the list of controlled events in all TK at the agricultural sector does not contain components of the threats contained in the concept, the accounting and neutralization of which allows you to reduce the possible damage to the CPU of section VIII V and D, which does not allow to evaluate prevented damage and realize the goals of the management system.

Thus, the exclusion from the TK of the most important elements of goal -setting leads to a significant narrowing of the list of monitoring objects and to the exclusion from the development of important tasks associated with preventing emergencies and evaluating the effectiveness of the system as a whole. The primary task of situational analysis is to determine the type of situation.

Usually they are divided into: the standard is known for the normalization algorithm; There are no emergency algorithm; Crisis of the governing body that go beyond the area of ​​responsibility. In the requirements for the agro -industrial complex, the decision is assigned to the duty service, which has a set of scenarios of actions on full -time situations. However, there is no algorithm of actions on emergency and crisis situations.

Although such situations are usually decomposed to break up until a set of staffing is obtained, so the preparation of the algorithm is possible. The algorithm for normalizing the crisis situation is to implement the information support of groups of experts to develop solutions. The list of analytical tasks in accordance with the concept and methodological instructions is not limited to the forecasting of emergencies.

There is no analysis of the dynamics of target indicators and criteria for the effectiveness of the system set by the concept, as well as the tools for managing these indicators in managers of different levels. Conclusion 1.The concept of constructing and developing the Safe City hardware and software complex requires the establishment of a mandatory goal-setting procedure taking into account the damage caused and prevented, as well as the specification and digitalization of all criteria and indicators.

The created situational management systems should be provided with subsystems for planning and control over changes in the CPU related to the prevention of emergencies and a decrease in damage from them. The lists of controlled events should include threats, accounting and neutralization of which make it possible to manage the processes of reducing the possible damage of the TsP of Grozeloa VIII B and D of the Concept.

It is necessary to regulate the collection of regional statistical data to establish the function of distributing the amount of damage from emergencies. The algorithms of the actions of the duty services should be supplemented by the reaction procedure to emergency and crisis situations. The analytical subsystem should ensure the analysis of the dynamics of target indicators and criteria for the effectiveness of the system specified by the concept.

Technological tools for visualization and management of these indicators for managers of different levels are needed. Literature 1. Posarinin A. Bosov A. Schukov A. A unified interdepartmental methodology for assessing damage from emergency situations of a technogenic, natural and terrorist nature, as well as classification and accounting of emergency situations. Information about the authors is a squeezer Alexander Alekseevich: D.